Institute of Geography

International workshop on modelling risk and resilience in human and natural systems

International workshop on modelling risk and resilience in human and natural systems

May 6-8th, 2019 at the University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland

Murgang und Überschwemmung

Scope of the workshop

Natural disasters consist of human and natural components that are interconnected. While progress has been made to mitigate and adapt to natural hazards, much of the existing research lacks interdisciplinary approaches that equally consider both natural and social processes. More importantly, this lack of integration between approaches remains a major challenge in developing disaster risk management plans for communities. The proposed early career researcher workshop on Modelling risk and resilience in human and natural systems aims to:

  • Establish the progress made in modelling risk and resilience to natural hazards,
  • Identify remaining challenges, and
  • Discover opportunities for future research.

To achieve this, we are bringing together international researchers engaged in modelling risk and resilience to natural hazards. Progress in modelling will be ascertained through presentations of ECRs research (oral and posters) and keynote talks from leading scientists. Additional progress in research, and identifying challenges and opportunities in modelling will be determined through interactive discussion between ECRs focusing on the following themes:

  1. Indicators of risk and resilience
  2. Conceptualizing dynamics between human and natural systems
  3. Modelling human and natural systems
  4. Modelling human behavior towards risk and resilience
  5. Interdisciplinary challenges and communicating model results

 

universität Bern oeschgercenter mobilab snf english

Monday, May 6th

Room 002, Institute of Geography

8.00 - 9.00

Registration and welcome coffee

 

9.00 - 9.15

Welcome and Introduction of the Risk and Resilience Cluster

Speaker: Dr Md Sarwar Hossain

9.15 - 10.05

Keynote 1: The Game Changes: New Imperatives and New Directions in Disaster Risk Reduction

Speaker: Prof David Alexander, University College London

 

Moderator: Prof. Margreth Keiler, University of Bern 

10.05 - 10.55

Keynote 2 (Virtual): Resilient societies in the face of climate change: natural hazard, adaptation and individual decision-making

Speaker: Prof Tatiana Filatova, University of Twente   

Moderator: Prof Chinwe Ifejika Speranza, University of Bern 

10.55 - 11.05

Coffee break

 

11.05 - 12.20

Oral presentations

Moderator: Dr Md Sarwar Hossain

 

   Indicators of risk and resilience

11:05 - 11:20: Desiree Daniel:
Discussion on the notion of resilience

11:20 - 11:40: Finn Laurien:
Measuring flood resilience: A Typology of Community Flood Resilience         

 

   Conceptualizing dynamics between human and natural systems

11:40 - 12:00: Shaun Maskrey:
Building a community Understanding flood risk using participatory modeling

12:00 - 12:20: Britta Höllermann:
Dynamics of human-water interactions

12:20 - 13:20

lunch

 

13:20 - 15:40

Oral presentations

Moderator: Dr Md Sarwar Hossain

 

   Modeling human and natural systems

13:20 - 13:40: Simon Molds:
Towards a system dynamics model of the Indo-Gangetic Plain for sustainable water resources management

13:40 - 14:00: Toon Haer:
Integrating decision-making processes in flood risk analysis

 

   Modeling human behavior towards risk and resilience

14:00 - 14:20: Liang Emlyn Yang:
Investigating and modeling resilience to flood hazards: Cases from developing Asia

14:20 - 14:40: Marlies Barendrecht:
The value of empirical data for estimating the parameters of a socio-hydrological flood risk model

 

   Interdisciplinary challenges and communicating model results

14:40 - 15:00: Chris Skinner:
SeriousGeoGames - Planting the seeds of resilience

15:00 - 15:20: Adrian Almoradie:
An interdisciplinary approach to enhance flood resilience - Collaborative Modeling

15:20 - 15:40: Wei Liu:
Serious games for disaster resilience communication and capacity development

15.40 - 16.40

Coffee break and poster session

 

16.40 - 17.40

Keynote 3 (Virtual): Disaster Resilience: From Theory to Models to Practice

Speaker: Prof Susan Cutter, University of South Carolina 

Moderator: Prof Chinwe Ifejika Speranza, University of Bern

17.40 - 17.45

General announcements

Dr. Md Sarwar Hossain

 

Tuesday, May 7th 

Rooms 216/220/320, Mittelstrasse 43, 3012 Bern

 

Wednesday, May 8th

Room 001, Institute of Geography

  • Presentation of group discussions (9.00-15.30) 
  • Early career workshop (15.30-16.30)
  • Concluding remarks: Prof. Margreth Keiler, University of Bern  (16.30-17.00)

 

 

 

 

Prof. David Alexander

David Alexander is Professor of Risk and Disaster Reduction at University College London (UCL). He graduated in geography at the London School of Economics and obtained his PhD in Mediterranean geomorphology from UCL.

Over the period 2003-7 he was Scientific Director of the Advanced School of Civil Protection of the regional government of Lombardy. As a Professor the University of Florence (2005-11) he was a leading member of the team that designed, launched and taught Italy's first Master of Civil Protection course. Alexander is Visiting Professor at the Universities of Bournemouth and Northumbria (UK), Coimbra (Portugal) and Lund (Sweden) and Research Fellow at the Global Risk Forum in Davos, Switzerland. Alexander's book Natural Disasterswas published in London and New York in 1993 and has frequently been reprinted. His subsequent books include Confronting Catastrophe (2000), Principles of Emergency Planning and Management (2002), Recovery from Disaster (with Ian Davis, 2015) and How to Write an Emergency Plan (2016).

David Alexander is the founder and Editor-in-Chief of Elsevier's International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction, and was formerly Co-Editor of Disasters journal. He is a member of the editorial boards of 14 academic journals. He is Vice-President and Chairman of the Trustees of the Institute of Civil Protection and Emergency Management, which is the oldest learned society in the field of disaster reduction. In 2013 Alexander won the Distinguished Research Award of the International Society for Integrated Disaster Risk Management (IDRiM).

 

Prof. Dr. Tatiana Filatova

She is a Professor in Computational Resilience Economics at the University of Twente (the Netherlands), which she joined in 2010. In September 2017, she also joined University of Technology Sydney (Australia) as Professor of Computational Economic Modeling working with spatial simulation models to study socioeconomic impacts of disasters and emergence of resilience across scales.

Her research line focuses on exploring how behavioral changes at micro level may lead to critical transitions (tipping points/regime shifts) on macro level in complex adaptive human-environment systems in application to climate change economics. She uses agent-based modelling (ABM) combined with social science methods of behavioral data collection on individual decisions and social networks.

This research line has been distinguished by the NWO VENI and ERC Starting grants and the Early Career Excellence award of the International Environmental Modeling Society (iEMSs).

She is Associate Editor of the Environmental Modelling & Software journal.

 

Prof. Dr. Susan L. Cutter

Carolina Distinguished Professor of Geography at the University of South Carolina where she directs the Hazards and Vulnerability Research Institute. Her primary research interests are in the area of disaster vulnerability/resilience science—what makes people and the places where they live vulnerable to extreme events and how vulnerability and resilience are measured, monitored, and assessed. She has authored or edited thirteen books, more than 150 peer-reviewed articles and book chapters. She has provided expert testimony to Congress on hazards and vulnerability

Dr. Cutter serves on many national advisory boards and committees including those of National Research Council (NRC), the AAAS, the National Science Foundation (NSF), the Natural Hazards Center (Boulder, CO), the National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST). She also serves as Vice-Chair of the international Integrated Research on Disaster Risk Science Committee supported by ISSC, ICSU, and UN-ISDR.

Dr. Cutter is co-executive editor of Environment and Editor-in-Chief of Oxford University Research Encyclopedias: Natural Hazards Science. She was a coordinating lead author of Chapter 5 of the IPCC Special Report on Managing the Risks of Extreme Events and Disasters to Advance Climate Change Adaptation as well as a convening lead author a chapter of the US Third National Climate Assessment on urban systems, infrastructure, and vulnerability. 

Travel

Bern is well-connected to the major airports of Switzerland with excellent train connections that are quicker than any car ride. The Airports of Zürich, Geneva and Basel all connect to Bern in 1 to 2 hours. For more information refer to the Timetable of SBB.

About the Venue

The workshop will take place at at the University of Bern, Switzerland:

A short walk from the main station and good bus (Bus number 12) connections from the station “Schanzenstrasse” make the venues easy to reach.

Registration

The workshop itself starts at 9:00 am, it is possible to register from 8:00 am.

Google Maps 2019

Some impressions of the workshop

International researchers engaged in modelling risk and resilience to natural hazards, presented their work (oral and posters) during the three-days workshop.
Youtube-Channel SES LaB

 

 

Organizing Team of the workshop
Dr Md Sarwar Hossain Sohel (Lead organizer), Prof Dr Margreth Keiler (Unit leader Geomorphology) and Prof Dr Chinwe Ifejika Speranza (Vice Director / Unit Management Sustainable Resource Use) moderated the keynote talks.
The workshop audience.
The workshop participants during one out of three keynote speeches.
Prof David Alexander during his presentation.
Prof David Alexander spoke on new imperatives and new directions in Disaster Risk Reduction (DRR).
Prof Tatiana Filatova during her virtual keynote speech.
Keynote (Virtual): Resilient societies in face of climate change: natural hazard risks, adaptation and individual decision-making. Prof Tatiana Filatova, University of Twente.
Prof Susan Cutter during her virtual keynote speech.
Keynote (Virtual): Disaster Resilience: From Theory to Models to Practice. Prof Susan Cutter, University of South Carolina.
Guest speaker Prof Jacky Croke during her presentation.
Guest speaker: Risk of climate extremes for water security in Australia: are we looking at a continent on the edge? Prof Jacky Croke, University College Dublin.
Poster session.
A poster session for ECRs was held during an extended coffee break to showcase their research.
Group work with discussions.
ECRs were divided into five parallel groups for discussion related to their assigned theme and commenced by addressing the submitted guiding questions.

Dr. Md. Sarwar Hossain Sohel

(Lead organizer), University of Bern, Institute of Geography

Dr Sarwar is a postdoctoral researcher (Marie Curie Fellow) at the Institute of Geography, University of Bern, Switzerland. His research aims to define the limits of sustainability by understanding the complex dynamics between social and ecological systems. Email: sarwar.sohel@giub.unibe.ch

Dr. Jorge Ramirez

(Co-organizer), University of Bern, Institute of Geography

Dr. Jorge Ramirez is a postdoctoral researcher at the Institute of Geography, University of Bern, Switzerland. His research focuses on Geomorphology, Natural Hazards and Risk Research / Cluster Risk & Resilience. Email: jorge.ramirez@giub.unibe.ch

Cristina Joss

(Student assistant), University of Bern, Institute of Geography 

Email: cristina.joss@giub.unibe.ch